Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 2.564657 2.923987 3.306042 3.741476 4.222934 4.737931 5.329381
2024-12-22 1.908301 2.403013 2.971286 3.667536 4.492485 5.433499 6.582536
2024-12-29 1.553707 2.136247 2.851898 3.783892 4.952576 6.355929 8.153414
2025-01-05 1.293254 1.925546 2.750263 3.882803 5.372960 7.240281 9.727018
2025-01-12 1.050745 1.689001 2.570095 3.840943 5.587598 7.860928 10.993281
2025-01-19 0.898674 1.547965 2.490706 3.909911 5.934567 8.655140 12.511203
2025-01-26 0.772911 1.422124 2.410637 3.958742 6.243378 9.402263 13.992977
2025-02-02 0.673559 1.319503 2.347890 4.018205 6.560177 10.166030 15.523831
2025-02-09 0.576689 1.203797 2.247723 4.005128 6.760559 10.766250 16.844675
2025-02-16 0.487085 1.084786 2.125449 3.940621 6.870662 11.232204 17.985049
2025-02-23 0.428479 1.012291 2.070677 3.975699 7.130016 11.922528 19.471722
2025-03-02 0.365621 0.920147 1.969309 3.920548 7.237050 12.382129 20.629132
2025-03-09 0.326567 0.871557 1.943878 3.998046 7.572040 13.219768 22.411982
2025-03-16 0.282640 0.804607 1.876223 3.994999 7.773570 13.860999 23.927678
2025-03-23 0.261350 0.784747 1.897228 4.153511 8.257222 14.970038 26.210250
2025-03-30 0.238668 0.757211 1.899102 4.275257 8.682713 16.002206 28.409890
2025-04-06 0.204933 0.695066 1.821112 4.236399 8.820431 16.567713 29.887890
2025-04-13 0.184697 0.663589 1.804242 4.313974 9.169032 17.493847 31.974244
2025-04-20 0.165180 0.629706 1.777452 4.368150 9.475799 18.359563 33.989421
2025-04-27 0.148621 0.600493 1.757324 4.433156 9.804376 19.272919 36.110520
2025-05-04 0.129535 0.558867 1.702304 4.419215 9.980769 19.928354 37.822335
2025-05-11 0.110174 0.510933 1.625006 4.349373 10.043086 20.383828 39.209925
2025-05-18 0.098269 0.484694 1.598339 4.387453 10.316780 21.220640 41.266736